Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 90.302201 100.009121 109.903242 120.717698 132.180645 143.945128 156.907697
2026-02-01 70.229168 84.101649 98.905880 115.771544 134.347190 154.082642 176.536302
2026-02-08 56.701924 73.309317 91.824906 113.726967 138.666410 165.939657 197.781525
2026-02-15 47.633966 66.257824 87.883174 114.332491 145.318960 180.023790 221.391418
2026-02-22 42.041187 62.491873 87.108762 118.084391 155.233096 197.642193 249.019871
2026-03-01 36.526814 58.087074 84.983894 119.761050 162.386177 211.898288 272.753407
2026-03-08 30.914342 52.844239 81.241814 118.977285 166.222607 222.018725 291.533598
2026-03-15 27.231312 49.720940 79.826815 120.784176 172.985275 235.478920 314.195818
2026-03-22 24.876296 48.156833 80.232619 124.742328 182.309519 251.991221 340.534507
2026-03-29 22.318898 45.979148 79.570784 127.127061 189.536301 265.897253 363.752654
2026-04-05 20.370844 44.484628 79.675017 130.393216 197.805629 281.059317 388.522541
2026-04-12 18.251086 42.460388 78.838438 132.247445 204.162146 293.809458 410.361013
2026-04-19 14.436987 37.188589 72.974243 127.001509 201.152956 294.850832 417.933104
2026-04-26 11.692867 33.329809 68.886001 123.965130 200.868153 299.211459 429.561839
2026-05-03 9.752329 30.623557 66.335897 122.935844 203.148295 306.777285 445.180866
2026-05-10 8.489109 29.030353 65.410870 124.168156 208.448149 318.224779 465.723160
2026-05-17 7.893679 28.731257 66.553842 128.445746 217.957170 335.194377 493.355352
2026-05-24 6.979800 27.583809 66.181743 130.389925 224.204586 347.914796 515.633799
2026-05-31 5.785565 25.549690 64.129620 129.656938 226.622368 355.559021 531.419501
2026-06-07 5.095612 24.588138 63.862794 131.615121 232.812896 368.196571 553.654919
2026-06-14 4.748437 24.445602 65.036442 135.820190 242.225694 385.166678 581.556027
2026-06-21 4.241609 23.765633 65.169627 138.351065 249.234086 398.947132 605.382054
2026-06-28 3.881722 23.424567 65.892774 141.803727 257.574945 414.538597 631.607078